Casale vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 1
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARC
42%
27%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAS
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
CAS
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LAV
0 - 1
SAN
36%
24%
39%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LAV
2 - 1
FOS
71%
17%
13%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
VFC
4 - 2
LAV
23%
24%
54%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
LAV
0 - 5
FOL
35%
28%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
LAV
3 - 1
ASD
38%
26%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |