Casale vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
FOS
2 - 2
CAS
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 2
CAS
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
DER
57%
25%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 3
CAS
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
FOS
1 - 0
FOL
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 0
PRO
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 0
ASD
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 2
VFC
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
FOL
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |