Casale vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
71.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
CAS
11%
17%
73%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
CHI
22%
23%
56%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
BOR
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
PRO
37%
28%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 1
VAR
8%
19%
73%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
PIS
3 - 1
VAR
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
GOZ
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAR
77%
16%
8%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |