Casale vs Arconatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAS
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
CAS
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VFC
1 - 3
CAS
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
CHI
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 1
FOS
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ARC
2 - 1
BOR
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 0
ARC
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 4
FOL
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SES
2 - 1
ARC
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |