Casale vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
ARC
3 - 2
CAS
39%
25%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
43%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
VFC
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
FOL
37%
28%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
VFC
0 - 5
UNI
14%
18%
68%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
FOL
50%
26%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FOS
4 - 5
UNI
18%
19%
63%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |