Casa Pia AC vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
CAS
58%
22%
19%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
OLI
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
VIZ
3 - 1
CAS
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
FEI
22%
27%
51%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
SPC
39%
28%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
POR
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 2
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
COV
1 - 1
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
FEI
2 - 1
VIL
66%
22%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |