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Segunda Liga. Matchday 22

Casa Pia UD Oliveirense
46 ELO 47
-8% Tilt 13%
1481º General ELO ranking 1339º
48º Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
39.5%
Casa Pia
27.5%
Draw
33%
UD Oliveirense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
Casa Pia
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33%
Win probability
UD Oliveirense
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Casa Pia
+4%
-16%
UD Oliveirense

Basic stats

57
43
POS
6
3
SOT
5
1
COR
2
0
GF
0
2
GC
8
25
FRK
46
47
ELO
1.3
1.1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Casa Pia
Their league position
UD Oliveirense
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
16º
31
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Estoril
70
70
100%
Vizela
66
66
100%
Arouca
65
65
100%
Académica
62
62
100%
Feirense
58
58
100%
Chaves
57
57
100%
Penafiel
46
46
100%
Benfica II
44
44
100%
Casa Pia
43
43
100%
Leixões
10º
40
40
10º
100%
SP. Covilhã
11º
37
37
13º
33%
Cova Piedade
12º
37
37
11º
33%
Mafra
13º
37
37
12º
33%
Academico Viseu
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Varzim
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Porto II
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Vilafranquense
17º
31
31
17º
50%
UD Oliveirense
18º
31
31
18º
50%
Expected probabilities
Casa Pia
UD Oliveirense
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

UD Oliveirense
OLI
Casa Pia
CAS
Penafiel
PEN
Chaves
CHA
Académica
ACA
Porto II
POR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Casa Pia
Casa Pia
1%
X%
2%
ELO CAS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2021
VIZ
Vizela
3 - 1
Casa Pia
CAS
51%
26%
23%
784 958 174 -6
14 Feb. 2021
CAS
Casa Pia
0 - 1
Feirense
FEI
31%
27%
42%
787 1405 -618 -3
07 Feb. 2021
BEN
Benfica II
2 - 0
Casa Pia
CAS
53%
26%
22%
793 1047 254 -6
31 Jan. 2021
CAS
Casa Pia
1 - 1
Leixões
LEX
39%
28%
33%
792 1144 -352 +1
25 Jan. 2021
CAS
Casa Pia
2 - 1
Cova Piedade
COV
46%
27%
28%
787 885 -98 +5

Matches

UD Oliveirense
UD Oliveirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO OLI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2021
OLI
UD Oliveirense
2 - 2
Vilafranquense
VIL
47%
27%
26%
847 739 108 -1
14 Feb. 2021
POR
Porto II
1 - 2
UD Oliveirense
OLI
51%
26%
23%
841 1012 171 +6
30 Jan. 2021
OLI
UD Oliveirense
0 - 3
Vizela
VIZ
46%
27%
28%
850 948 -98 -9
22 Jan. 2021
OLI
UD Oliveirense
1 - 1
Varzim
VAR
39%
28%
33%
849 1089 -240 +1
17 Jan. 2021
ACV
Academico Viseu
1 - 2
UD Oliveirense
OLI
53%
24%
23%
842 1143 301 +7