Campeonato de Portugal Playoffs. Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Casa Pia AC vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAS
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
ESP
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
REA
2 - 0
CAS
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
AMO
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
1DE
1 - 2
CAS
19%
26%
56%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
PRA
1 - 1
FAF
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FAF
0 - 1
PRA
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
PRA
1 - 0
VAS
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ORI
2 - 0
PRA
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PRA
2 - 0
ANG
84%
12%
4%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |