Casa Pia AC vs Eléctrico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SIN
2 - 1
CAS
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 1
PER
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAS
16%
22%
63%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 15 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LEX
2 - 1
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Eléctrico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ELE
1 - 0
OEL
11%
22%
67%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
ELE
67%
20%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ELE
0 - 1
OEI
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
ELE
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |