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III Divisao. Matchday 14

Cartaxo vs Sacavenense analysis

Cartaxo Sacavenense
19 ELO 20
2% Tilt 32%
15247º General ELO ranking 4675º
279º Country ELO ranking 175º
ELO win probability
39.4%
Cartaxo
25.4%
Draw
35.2%
Sacavenense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
Cartaxo
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.2%
Win probability
Sacavenense
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cartaxo
-6%
+32%
Sacavenense

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Oeiras
º
43
43
0%
Sintrense
º
38
38
0%
Real Sport Clube
º
34
34
0%
Pêro Pinheiro
º
34
34
0%
CF Benfica
º
34
34
0%
Casa Pia
º
33
33
0%
Eléctrico
º
32
32
0%
Sacavenense
º
30
30
0%
Cartaxo
º
26
26
0%
Olímpico do Montijo
º
20
20
10º
0%
Alcochetense
º
17
17
11º
0%
O Elvas
º
12
12
12º
0%
Expected probabilities
Cartaxo
Sacavenense
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Sacavenense
SAC
Cartaxo
CAR
Alcochetense
ALC
Olímpico do Montijo
OLI
Pêro Pinheiro
PER
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cartaxo
Cartaxo
1%
X%
2%
ELO CAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2012
CFB
CF Benfica
3 - 0
Cartaxo
CAR
44%
27%
29%
258 262 4 -2
18 Dec. 2011
CAR
Cartaxo
0 - 3
Casa Pia
CAS
44%
27%
29%
260 261 -1 -2
11 Dec. 2011
CAR
Cartaxo
3 - 1
O Elvas
OEL
44%
27%
29%
258 252 6 +2
27 Nov. 2011
REA
Real Sport Clube
4 - 1
Cartaxo
CAR
44%
27%
29%
260 259 -1 -2
13 Nov. 2011
CAR
Cartaxo
0 - 1
Oeiras
OEI
44%
27%
29%
262 255 7 -1

Matches

Sacavenense
Sacavenense
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2012
OLI
Olímpico do Montijo
1 - 4
Sacavenense
SAC
44%
27%
29%
263 261 -2 +2
18 Dec. 2011
SAC
Sacavenense
2 - 3
CF Benfica
CFB
44%
27%
29%
264 261 3 -1
11 Dec. 2011
SAC
Sacavenense
1 - 0
Casa Pia
CAS
44%
27%
29%
263 262 1 +1
27 Nov. 2011
OEL
O Elvas
1 - 1
Sacavenense
SAC
46%
27%
27%
263 252 -11 0
13 Nov. 2011
SAC
Sacavenense
1 - 1
Real Sport Clube
REA
44%
27%
29%
263 259 4 0