Carshalton Athletic vs VCD Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
KIN
2 - 1
CAR
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
HAR
74%
15%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 3
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
LEW
2 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
BRI
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
VCD Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
VCD
0 - 1
BEC
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VCD
0 - 0
LIT
25%
19%
55%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TOO
1 - 2
VCD
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
THR
2 - 0
VCD
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VCD
2 - 1
HAY
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |