Carshalton Athletic vs Metropolitan Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
CAR
16%
21%
64%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
COR
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
WOR
5 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
KIN
1 - 1
CAR
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
MET
3 - 1
KIN
54%
23%
22%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
WAL
3 - 4
MET
13%
19%
68%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
ABR
2 - 3
MET
12%
16%
73%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 1
MET
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
POO
5 - 2
MET
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |