Carshalton Athletic vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
WOR
1 - 1
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
DAG
36%
25%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 2
KIN
78%
14%
9%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 2
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LOW
1 - 2
CAR
21%
23%
56%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
MER
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HOR
4 - 0
MER
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MER
1 - 2
CRA
31%
24%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MER
1 - 4
LEA
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
MER
1 - 3
WOR
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |