Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
9º
8º
32
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
GLE
23%
22%
55%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
CLI
12%
22%
66%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAL
18%
21%
62%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 1
NEY
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CLI
4 - 0
BAL
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
NEW
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
BAL
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |