Carrarese vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOV
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PIS
0 - 2
CAR
27%
25%
47%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 1
CAR
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
3 - 1
PON
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ABN
0 - 0
GRO
55%
25%
21%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 1
USA
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 0
GRO
61%
22%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
2 - 2
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |