Carrarese vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
OLB
2 - 1
CAR
15%
20%
65%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 4
GER
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAR
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
PON
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
SIE
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
REN
1 - 0
PIS
40%
29%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OLB
0 - 0
REN
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
COM
2 - 0
REN
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
GER
61%
24%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
REN
1 - 0
USA
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |