Carrarese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PIS
0 - 2
CAR
27%
25%
47%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 1
CAR
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
PON
1 - 1
CAR
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
PRO
65%
20%
16%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
LIV
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
PON
1 - 0
NOV
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
USA
36%
28%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GER
2 - 2
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 4
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |