Carrarese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ABN
3 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
OLB
1 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
COM
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PER
2 - 0
CAR
42%
25%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
GER
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ASL
0 - 0
LIV
38%
26%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 1
ASL
64%
21%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
USA
5 - 2
ASL
73%
18%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 0
PIS
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
GER
4 - 3
ASL
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |