AC Carpi vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
CES
3 - 0
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
FCS
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ARZ
3 - 3
CAR
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
PAD
6 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
IMO
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
IMO
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
ASG
1 - 1
FER
46%
27%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
FER
67%
22%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
SSS
22%
25%
54%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
FCS
22%
29%
50%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |