AC Carpi vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FRO
1 - 0
CAR
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
CES
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 0
CAR
30%
31%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
VIC
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
CAR
35%
29%
35%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 1
PIS
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PRG
3 - 2
BRE
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
FRO
1 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 2
AVE
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
TRA
0 - 0
BRE
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |