Caronnese vs Ligorna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VOG
2 - 0
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SES
0 - 1
CAR
35%
29%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
VFC
81%
13%
7%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ACQ
0 - 3
CAR
16%
24%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ligorna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
LIG
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 3
PIN
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VFC
2 - 2
LIG
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
VOG
22%
21%
58%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SET
3 - 0
LIG
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |