Caronnese vs Città di Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
PDH
4 - 0
CAR
32%
23%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
ASD
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ACS
0 - 1
CAR
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
BOR
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
PRO
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PDH
2 - 2
ASD
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 1
ASD
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
SES
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DER
0 - 1
ASD
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |