Carlton Town vs Kidsgrove Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SOH
0 - 6
CAR
24%
24%
53%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 1
LOU
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
BED
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
COL
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WIS
0 - 3
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Kidsgrove Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
KID
1 - 3
MOS
30%
23%
48%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RYL
3 - 0
KID
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 0
KID
74%
17%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
KID
4 - 1
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CLI
1 - 2
KID
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |