Carlton Town vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
COR
2 - 1
CAR
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SUT
0 - 1
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
YAX
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 3
HAL
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ILK
4 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 0
CAM
71%
18%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
HAL
0 - 2
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
ILK
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 4
STA
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SOH
1 - 2
CHA
8%
16%
77%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | +1 |