Carlton Town vs Cambridge City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAL
52%
21%
28%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 1
CAR
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
BED
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 1
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FRI
2 - 1
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cambridge City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
DAV
1 - 5
CAM
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
CAM
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 2
HAL
35%
24%
40%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
PET
5 - 0
CAM
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DAR
2 - 0
CAM
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |