North Carolina vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
RIC
0 - 0
CAR
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
GTR
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
CHA
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
CHA
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 2
TUC
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
IMI
5 - 1
TUC
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
TUC
1 - 1
FMA
32%
27%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 1
TUC
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARI
2 - 1
TUC
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |