North Carolina vs Saint Louis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NSC
2 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
NYO
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 1
OTT
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SPK
1 - 0
CAR
19%
24%
58%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LOU
0 - 1
PIT
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
LOU
4 - 3
LOU
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LOU
0 - 1
LOU
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 1
AFC
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 0
LOU
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |