North Carolina vs Memphis 901 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
CHA
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PHU
0 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 1
LOU
34%
25%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
CHA
63%
19%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 3
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Memphis 901
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
NYO
3 - 2
MEM
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PHU
0 - 1
MEM
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 1
LOU
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MEM
0 - 1
TAM
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |