North Carolina vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
GTR
52%
21%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAR
29%
23%
48%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 3
BLE
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
LOU
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NSC
2 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
4 - 0
FMA
54%
21%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
LOU
31%
23%
46%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
OMA
43%
22%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
COL
0 - 3
LOU
8%
15%
77%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NSC
4 - 1
LOU
32%
22%
47%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |