North Carolina vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
NYC
2 - 2
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
NYC
28%
27%
46%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 1
CHA
55%
21%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
JAC
2 - 1
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
PTR
1 - 2
CAR
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
SES
1 - 0
HOD
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
HOD
5 - 1
RSL
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
DAL
0 - 0
HOD
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AFC
4 - 1
HOD
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
PHU
2 - 0
HOD
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |