North Carolina Fusion U23 vs Wilmington Hammerheads analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina Fusion U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
NOC
3 - 1
CAR
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 3
CHA
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
NOC
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRF
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
TRF
4 - 4
WIL
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 1
NOC
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 1
CHA
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
MBM
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
NOC
3 - 1
WIL
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |