Carmarthen Town vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
LLA
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PON
1 - 1
CAR
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAM
4 - 1
CAR
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 3
AIR
53%
23%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
CEF
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
AAF
2 - 4
TAF
71%
16%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
PON
4 - 3
TAF
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
TAF
0 - 1
GOY
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 0
TAF
66%
17%
16%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
TAF
88%
10%
3%
|
25 | 73 | 48 | -1 |