Carmarthen Town vs Port Talbot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 2
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
TRE
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 3
CAR
8%
15%
77%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LID
0 - 4
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRI
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
POR
0 - 2
SUF
8%
14%
79%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SUF
4 - 0
POR
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 3
CAR
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LLA
6 - 0
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 3
GOY
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | -1 |