Carmarthen Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 4
CWM
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAE
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
LID
2 - 0
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 1
OSW
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
CON
0 - 1
TNS
41%
25%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
CON
1 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
CAE
1 - 0
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
CON
2 - 1
RHY
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
BAN
2 - 1
CON
57%
22%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |