Carmarthen Town vs Briton Ferry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
14º
4º
60
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CWM
4 - 3
CAR
18%
21%
62%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 3
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 1
PON
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CWM
3 - 5
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
3 - 1
CAR
15%
21%
65%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 4
BRI
16%
19%
65%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 1
AAF
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 4
BRI
23%
22%
54%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAM
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CRO
0 - 5
BRI
17%
18%
65%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |