Carmarthen Town vs Ammanford AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
AAF
1 - 3
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
RIS
1 - 1
CAR
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 0
UND
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TAF
2 - 0
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 1
LLA
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
AAF
1 - 3
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
TAF
0 - 1
AAF
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
AAF
0 - 0
SUF
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 1
AAF
78%
16%
7%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AAF
5 - 2
UND
48%
21%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +2 |