Carmarthen Town vs Abertillery Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
AAF
73%
17%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 1
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
GOY
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
PON
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
11%
16%
73%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CWM
1 - 2
ABB
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ABB
1 - 1
LLA
10%
16%
75%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | +3 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ABB
1 - 1
TAF
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
ABB
54%
21%
26%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 1
ABE
36%
22%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |