CA Manucci vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Manucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
GAR
2 - 3
MAN
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 1
BIN
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
HUA
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 3
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
UTC
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 3
MEL
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
3 - 0
AUN
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 2
GAR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BIN
1 - 5
MEL
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |