Carlisle United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
CUM
2 - 3
TRA
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 1
CUM
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
TOW
1 - 0
CUM
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 2
FOR
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 0
EXE
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
OLD
0 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 2
OLD
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 3
OLD
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
OLD
2 - 1
SAL
41%
26%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 0
OLD
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |