Carlisle United vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
COV
2 - 0
CUM
42%
25%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
STA
3 - 0
CUM
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CUM
1 - 1
MAN
57%
22%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 2
CUM
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LIN
4 - 1
CUM
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
EXE
32%
25%
42%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAM
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 4
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 4
AFC
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
STE
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |