Cariri vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
CFS
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
CFS
55%
21%
23%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
CFS
2 - 0
MAR
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | +4 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
CFS
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
CFS
0 - 0
IGU
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 1
TIR
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
HOR
20%
23%
57%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 0
ITA
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 3
HOR
17%
20%
63%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 0
FLO
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |