Cardiff MU vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
HAV
0 - 0
CAR
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 5
FLI
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
AAF
0 - 4
CAR
8%
14%
78%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 2
PEN
62%
21%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 1
PEN
43%
23%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |