Cardiff City vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
HUR
0 - 0
CAR
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 0
DER
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MID
1 - 1
CAR
29%
28%
44%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 0
PNE
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 0
NTT
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
WAT
2 - 0
WYC
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 0
WAT
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
BBU
2 - 3
WAT
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
WAT
2 - 1
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |