Cardiff City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
WHU
3 - 1
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
WOL
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
BHA
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
LEI
16%
22%
62%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
TOT
3 - 1
SOU
79%
15%
7%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 2
MUD
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
LEI
0 - 0
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FUL
3 - 2
SOU
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 1
WAT
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |