Cardiff City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
53.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1960 |
BBU
2 - 2
CAR
75%
14%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1960 |
CAR
1 - 1
EVE
33%
23%
43%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1960 |
BPO
6 - 1
CAR
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1960 |
TOT
3 - 2
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1960 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEI
38%
23%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1960 |
MUD
3 - 0
WBA
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1960 |
BIR
3 - 1
MUD
44%
21%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1960 |
MUD
0 - 0
SHW
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1960 |
ARS
2 - 1
MUD
46%
21%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1960 |
MUD
2 - 1
NTT
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |