Cardiff City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1954 |
SHE
1 - 3
CAR
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1954 |
CAR
1 - 1
HUR
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1954 |
CAR
1 - 1
SHE
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1954 |
CHL
1 - 1
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1954 |
PNE
7 - 1
CAR
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1954 |
ARS
2 - 3
MAC
74%
14%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1954 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHL
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1954 |
MAC
2 - 1
ARS
46%
23%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1954 |
LEI
0 - 2
MAC
56%
21%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1954 |
SHE
0 - 2
MAC
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |