Cardiff City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
WIG
3 - 2
CAR
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
NIC
32%
26%
41%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAD
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
NMU
1 - 1
CAR
7%
12%
81%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
USA
0 - 1
CAR
9%
17%
75%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
LUT
3 - 3
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LUT
1 - 5
NOR
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
LUT
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 7
LUT
6%
14%
80%
|
70 | 30 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
BED
1 - 2
LUT
5%
14%
81%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |