FA Cup . 1/32
Global 3-4
Cardiff City vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
CAR
3 - 0
NTT
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
DER
0 - 1
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
WAT
0 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 1
WOL
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
SHE
2 - 1
CAR
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
BBU
1 - 0
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
ASV
1 - 0
BBU
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 1
BBU
49%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
BBU
2 - 2
NEW
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BBU
0 - 0
EVE
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |