Caravaggio vs US Breno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAR
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
3 - 2
CAR
14%
19%
67%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TRI
2 - 2
CAR
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 3
CRE
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
NIB
37%
23%
41%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CRE
2 - 2
USB
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
USB
2 - 2
TRI
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
USP
1 - 1
USB
33%
23%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
USB
0 - 0
NOV
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FAN
3 - 0
USB
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |