Caravaggio vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 0
CAR
45%
25%
31%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 3
SAC
43%
26%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
PER
2 - 3
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
FOL
48%
26%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TRI
0 - 0
DAR
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 3
TRI
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TRI
3 - 1
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SAC
2 - 2
TRI
26%
26%
49%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
TRI
3 - 2
REN
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |